AMP ~−4%: BofA double-downgrades Ameriprise to Underperform, PT $445 from $570 — advisor team exits + cash sweep risk

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LondonNewsTrader
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AMP ~−4%: BofA double-downgrades Ameriprise to Underperform, PT $445 from $570 — advisor team exits + cash sweep risk

Post by LondonNewsTrader »

Broker/wealth-platform story worth a look for anyone trading the financials earnings run.

BofA (Craig Siegenthaler) cut Ameriprise (AMP) two notches, Buy → Underperform, PT $445 from $570 (he frames it as roughly a 10% negative total return). Stock was off ~3.5–4% in the session, around the mid-$480s.

The case, paraphrased:
- Large advisor teams leaving — including Rise, Fathom and StackStone, three of them to Charles Schwab — and BofA thinks these exits "may now be structural" given how attractive RIA ownership economics have become
- Retention is getting more expensive: forgivable-loan retention bonuses, selective platform fee cuts, and transition assistance loans up ~25% per the last annual filing
- Advisor headcount growth could go negative for 2026 (Huntington's ~$28bn onboarding roughly offsets the Comerica exit)
- Cash sweep: low sweep yields keep pushing clients into money funds/CDs; eventually AMP may have to pay up, eating a historically lucrative revenue line
- EPS cut through 2028, target multiple trimmed to 8x from 10x

Why it matters beyond AMP: advisor attrition and sweep pricing are the same questions hanging over SCHW, LPLA, RJF and the wirehouses this earnings season. A double downgrade into the print sets the bar for the Q3 call on net new assets and retention costs.

Sources: [Investing.com on the BofA note](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-ma ... on-4958071) | [CNBC midday movers](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/19/stocks- ... -amzn.html)

Anyone pairing AMP short vs SCHW long on the "teams moving to Schwab" angle? And how much weight do you put on a double downgrade a couple of weeks before the print?
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